Portfolio Compass | February 20, 2019

COMPASS CHANGES Upgraded precious metals view to neutral from negative/neutral. INVESTMENT TAKEAWAYS Expectations for solid but slower growth in the U.S. economy and corporate profits support our year-end 2019 fair value target for the S&P 500 of 3000.* We...

Trimming Our 2019 GDP Forecast

Economic data have consistently missed expectations recently as investors and Wall Street have struggled to quantify the impact of global trade and political risks. As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, the Bloomberg U.S. Economic Surprise Index has dropped sharply...

Market Update: Wed, Feb 20, 2019 | LPL Financial Research

Macro View Daily Insights Fed minutes. Traders will be looking for clues about the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) intentions for the terminal size and asset mix of its ~$4.5 trillion balance sheet when the minutes of last month’s monetary policy meeting are released at...

The Rally Continues | Weekly Market Commentary | February 19, 2019

KEY TAKEAWAYS The market rally continues, with stocks off to their best year’s start since 1991. Near-term stocks are quite overbought and a pullback could be warranted. Yet, from a sentiment perspective, we still aren’t seeing signs of the over-the-top optimism that...

Changing Our 10-Year Yield Forecast

Economic growth could be lower than we initially expected this year, which could weigh on long-term rates. We’ve seen enough evidence recently to think 2019 gross domestic product (GDP) growth is likely to be closer to 2.5%, the lower end of our original 2019...